Wednesday 11 December 2013

NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK (11-DEC-2013)

Fundamentals of Natural Gas NYMEX:
With the traditional pre-winter rally in natural gas underway, bullish predictions of much higher prices are starting to emerge. But is the natural gas market - which has been burdened with oversupply for quite some time - finally ready to break out?

The latest supply and demand data from the Energy Information Administration may offer some clues. On the supply side, little has changed. Output continues to boom and there are no signs of an imminent decline in production, as many analysts have predicted time and time again.
In July, gross natural gas production in the U.S. jumped to 74.52 bcf/d, a record high. That was up 1.8 bcf/d, or 2.5 percent, from a year ago.

Technicals of Natural Gas NYMEX:
NATURAL GAS is on the verge of Breakout. On Weekly Charts of Natural Gas a Breakout level of Classical Head and Shoulder Pattern Can be Seen. Short Position Should be Reversed and Long Position Should be Initiated "if" NGAS Sustains Above $4.3500 It can Head towards $4.4800

Unable to Cross Immediate Resistance @4.3200 and Closed Below 3.9900 Can Head towards Lower Levels as Fundamentals Also Suggests.